Masana tattalin arziƙa sun bayyana cewa, ko da yake ƙimar asali na budaddiyar 2025 ta karu sosai, amma ta ragu da kashi 18.25 a cikin dalar Amurka idan aka kwatanta da ƙimar 2022. Wannan bayani ya fito ne bayan amincewa da tsarin kudaden tsawon muddar matsakaici (Medium-Term Expenditure Framework) na shekarun 2025-2027 na Majalisar Zartarwa ta Tarayya, wanda ya nuna tsaka-tsakin budaddiyar N47.9 triliyan don shekarar kudi ta 2025.
GWamnatin tarayya ta kuma tsara tsakanin kudaden naira da dalar Amurka a N1,400/$ don shekarar kudi ta gaba, wanda ya kai dalar Amurka $34.14bn, yayin da ƙimar N17.126 triliyan na 2022 an yi ta ne da tsakanin kudaden N410.15/$, wanda ya kai dalar Amurka $41.76bn. Budaddiyar N21.83 triliyan na 2023, tsakanin kudaden naira da dalar Amurka an tsara shi a N435.57/$, wanda ya kai dalar Amurka $50.11bn.
Masana tattalin arziƙa, ciki har da Bismarck Rewane, wanda shine Manajan Darakta na Financial Derivative Company, sun bayyana cewa, tsakanin kudaden naira da dalar Amurka zai iya inganta a watan Janairu 2025. Rewane ya ce, “Babu wata hujja ta tattalin arziƙi da zata sa naira ta kasance a ƙarƙashin 30% na ƙimar ta a cikin watanni goma sha biyu”.
Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry (LCCI) ta kuma nuna damu game da yanayin tattalin arziƙi da aka ɗauka a cikin budaddiyar 2025. LCCI ta ce, asumtoci na tsakanin kudaden naira da dalar Amurka da kuma asumtoci na hauhawar farashin kayayyaki ba su da inganci. Dr Chinyere Almona, Darakta-Janar na LCCI, ta ce, “Asumtoci na tsakanin kudaden naira da dalar Amurka a N1,400 ba su da inganci idan aka kwatanta da tsakanin kudaden naira da dalar Amurka a yanzu wanda ya kai N1,600 zuwa dalar Amurka a kasuwar hukuma da kasuwar siyasa”.
LCCI ta kuma nuna damu game da karin bashin da ake biya na N15.38 triliyan, wanda ya kai 32.1% na jimlar budaddiyar, da kuma kudaden bashi na N9.22 triliyan, yayin da bashin tarayya ya kai N134 triliyan a watan Yuni 2024. Almona ta ce, “Wannan matsayi na biyan bashi ba zai iya kuduri ba,” ta nemi gwamnatin tarayya ta bi tsarin ayyukan kudaden tarayya kuma ta iyakance bashin da CBN ke bayarwa zuwa 5% na kudaden shiga.
