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The winter storm warning begins Monday and continues through Tuesday; Heavy snow and ice in some areas

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Upper Midwest

A juicy winter storm will bring snow, rain and freezing rain to the Upper Midwest Monday through Tuesday.

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The North American Mesoscale Forecast Model (NAM) from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration shows the potential precipitation pattern from Monday morning through Tuesday night:

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Simulated radar from 6 a.m. Monday to 11 p.m. Tuesday

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NOAA, via Tropicaltidbits.com

The heaviest snow will be Monday afternoon and evening through Tuesday. South-central and southeastern Minnesota, plus parts of western Wisconsin, can see several hours of freezing rain before shifting to a wintry mix and then full snow.

Some computer models show about an inch of precipitation in many areas Monday through Tuesday nights. That would include rain plus the water content of snow. That would be more than our average precipitation total for the entire month of January.

Possible Snow Totals

The heaviest snow totals are expected to be in southwestern Minnesota, where many areas will receive double-digit totals over the two days. Snowfall of 6 inches or more is expected in central Minnesota, the northern part of the metropolitan area, and northwestern Wisconsin:

Chance of heavy snowfall Monday through Tuesday

National Metereological Service

Ice dams from freezing rain are most likely to be in southern Minnesota and parts of southwestern Wisconsin:

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Ice potential Monday through Tuesday

National Metereological Service

Warnings and notices

Winter storm warnings, with various Monday start times, have been posted for much of central and southern Minnesota, including the Twin Cities metropolitan area:

Warnings and notices with various Monday start times

National Metereological Service

Here are details of the winter storm warning that includes the Twin Cities metropolitan area and begins at 3 p.m. Monday and continues through Tuesday afternoon:

URGENT – WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN 310 p. .KMPX.WS.W.0001.230102T2100Z-230104T0000Z/ Stearns-Benton-Sherburne-Isanti-Chisago-Wright-Hennepin-Anoka- Ramsey-Washington– Including the cities of St Cloud, Sauk Rapids, Elk River, Cambridge, Center City, Monticello, Minneapolis, Blaine, St Paul, and Stillwater 310 pm CST Sunday, January 1, 2023 …WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT AT 3 PM. Total snow accumulations of 5 to 8 inches and ice accumulations of a few hundredths of an inch of ice. Winds gusting to 35 mph. * WHERE… Portions of central and east central Minnesota. * WHEN…From 3 pm Monday to 6 pm CST Tuesday. * IMPACTS… Traveling could be very difficult. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS… If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. Road conditions can also be found at 511mn.org for Minnesota or 511wi.gov for Wisconsin.

Here are details of the winter storm warning that begins at 6 a.m. Monday in southwestern Minnesota:

URGENT – WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD 210 p.m. .0005.230102T1200Z-230104T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KFSD.WS.W.0001.230102T1200Z-230104T0000Z/ Lincoln-Lyon-Pipestone-Beadle-Kingsbury-Brookings-Gregory-Jerauld-Sanborn-Miner-Lake-Brudy-Davirason -Hanson-McCook- Charles Mix-Douglas- 210 pm CST Sunday January 1, 2023 …WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM MONDAY UNTIL 6 PM. Total snow accumulations of 10 to 18 inches. Possible ice clumps from a light glaze. Winds gusting to 40 mph. * WHERE… Parts of southwestern Minnesota and central, east-central, south-central, and southeastern South Dakota. * WHEN…From 6 am Monday to 6 pm CST Tuesday. * IMPACTS… Traveling can be very difficult or impossible. Falling and blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. Hazardous conditions could affect morning or evening travel. *ADDITIONAL DETAILS… Heavy snowfall of 1 to 2 inches per hour is possible Monday night through Tuesday morning. Blizzard or near-blizzard conditions may develop. Small fluctuations in the storm’s track are still possible, which could affect the type and amount of precipitation forecast.


Here are details of the ice storm warning that begins at noon Monday and continues through Tuesday afternoon in south-central Minnesota:

URGENT – WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE Twin Cities/Chanhassen National Weather Service MN 310 PM CST Sun Jan 1, 2023 MNZ083-091-092-020600– /O.UPG.KMPX.WS.A.0007.230102T2100Z-230104T0000Z/ /O. NEW.KMPX .IS.W.0001.230102T1800Z-230104T0000Z/ Blue Earth-Martin-Faribault- Including the cities of Mankato, Fairmont and Blue Earth 310 p. TUESDAY… * WHAT…Expect significant. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 6 inches and ice accumulations of about a quarter inch of ice. * WHERE…Blue Earth, Martin and Faribault counties. * WHEN… From noon Monday to 6 pm CST Tuesday. * IMPACTS… Plan on slippery road conditions. Heavy icing can cause downed tree limbs and power lines. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS MEASURES… Travel is strongly discouraged. If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. Prepare for potential power outages. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. Road conditions can also be found at 511mn.org for Minnesota or 511wi.gov for Wisconsin.

A winter weather advisory begins at 6 p.m. Monday from Red Wing to Eau Claire. Here are the details for Goodhue County:

URGENT – WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE Twin Cities/Chanhassen National Weather Service MN 310 PM CST Sun Jan 1, 2023 MNZ078-020600– /O.UPG.KMPX.WS.A.0007.230102T2100Z-230104T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KMPX. WW.Y .0001.230103T0000Z-230104T0000Z/ Goodhue- Including City of Red Wing 310 pm CST Sunday, January 1, 2023 …WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 pm CST MONDAY TO 6 pm. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches and ice accumulations of one to two tenths of an inch of ice. * WHERE…Goodhue County. * WHEN…From 6 pm Monday to 6 pm CST Tuesday. * IMPACTS… Plan on slippery road conditions. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS… Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. Road conditions can also be found at 511mn.org for Minnesota or 511wi.gov for Wisconsin:

A winter storm watch begins at 6 p.m. Monday in far southeast Minnesota, here are the details:

URGENT – WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service La Crosse WI 250 PM CST Sun Jan 1, 2023 Wabasha-Olmsted-Winona-Fillmore-Houston- Including the cities of Cresco, Wabasha, Rochester, Winona, Preston and Caledonia 250 PM. * WHAT… Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Snow total accumulations of up to 3 inches and ice accumulations of one-tenth to three-tenths of an inch possible. * WHERE… Parts of northeastern Iowa and southeastern Minnesota. * WHEN…From Monday night to Tuesday afternoon. * IMPACTS… Power outages and tree damage likely due to ice. Traveling could be next to impossible. Hazardous conditions could affect morning or evening travel. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS… There is still a possibility that this storm will move to the north or south. Travelers are urged to keep up to date with the latest forecasts and statements regarding this potentially dangerous travel situation.

A winter storm watch begins Monday night from Brainerd to Duluth in northwestern Wisconsin:

The winter storm watch begins Monday night for Brainerd-Duluth-NW Wisc.

National Metereological Service

The storm track and/or temperature profile within the storm could change, changing the coverage area of ​​heavy snow and freezing rain.

A 3D view of how different air masses create different types of precipitation at the edge of warm and cold air in a wintry system

National Metereological Service

You can find up-to-date weather information for Minnesota and western Wisconsin on the Minnesota Public Radio News Network and on the MPR News Live Weather Blog.

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You can listen to my live weather updates on MPR News at 7:35am, 9:35am and 4:39pm on Saturdays and Sundays.

Credit: https://www.mprnews.org/story/2023/01/01/winter-storm-will-deliver-heavy-snow-and-freezing-rain-monday-into-tuesday

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