Rahoton ayyukan yi na watan Disamba na 2024 ya nuna tsaiko a cikin daukar ma’aikata, yayin da yawan aikin yi ya ragu kuma yawan rashin aikin yi ya tsaya a 4.2%, kamar yadda aka ruwaito daga Ofishin Kididdiga na Ayyukan Yi (Bureau of Labor Statistics).
Masana tattalin arziki sun yi hasashen cewa za a sami karuwar ayyukan yi kusan 155,000 a cikin watan Disamba, wanda ya ragu daga adadin da aka samu a watannin baya. Duk da haka, bayanan cikin rahoton sun kasance mahimmanci, tare da wasu masana suna tsammanin cewa za a iya samun raguwa mai yawa idan aka yi la’akari da yanayin yanayi da sauran abubuwan da suka shafi lokaci.
Maureen Hoersten, Shugaban Ayyuka kuma Shugaban Gudanarwa na LaSalle Network, wata kamfanin daukar ma’aikata da ke Chicago, ta ce, “Mun ga dan taushi a cikin kasuwar aiki, amma har yanzu kasuwa tana da kyau. Abubuwa suna daidaitawa kadan. Mutane har yanzu suna taka tsantsan, suna kokarin fahimtar wannan sabon shekara da sabon yanayin tattalin arziki da siyasa.”
A matsakaita, tattalin arzikin Amurka ya kara ayyukan yi kusan 180,000 a kowane wata a cikin 2024, duk da cewa bayanan sun kasance masu rikitarwa kuma suna da rudani. Gwamna Michelle Bowman na Babban Bankin Amurka (Federal Reserve) ta bayyana cewa rahotannin kasuwar aiki “sun zama masu wuyar fahimta” saboda matsalolin aunawa, wadanda suka hada da karuwar sabbin ma’aikata da karancin amsawa kan binciken.
Goldman Sachs, daya daga cikin manyan bankunan Amurka, ta kiyasta cewa karuwar ayyukan yi zai kai kusan 125,000, tare da yawan rashin aikin yi ya kai 4.3%. Bankin ya ce, “Hasashenmu yana nuna dawowar yawan ma’aikata da kuma matsakaicin ci gaban aikin yi a cikin gida, yayin da damar samun aiki ta yi wuya.”
Citigroup kuma ta yi hasashen cewa za a sami sabbin ayyukan yi kusan 120,000, tare da yawan rashin aikin yi ya kai 4.4%. Masanin tattalin arziki Andrew Hollenhorst ya rubuta cewa, “Wannan ya kamata ya tunatar da kasuwanni cewa kasuwar aiki ba ta da kwanciyar hankali kuma tana ci gaba da raguwa. Hadarin yana daidaitawa ga karancin karuwa.”
Duk da haka, Hoersten ta ce tana tsammanin cewa idan wasu abubuwan da ke haifar da rudani sun ragu, kamfanoni za su ci gaba da kara yawan ma’aikata, ko da yake a hankali. Wani bincike na kwanan nan ya nuna cewa buÉ—aÉ—É—en ayyukan yi a watan Nuwamba ya kai matakin mafi girma a cikin watanni shida, yayin da yawan korar ma’aikata bai canja ba.
A taron Babban Bankin Amurka na watan Disamba, jami’ai sun lura da “ci gaba da sassauta yanayin kasuwar aiki,” amma ba su ga alamun lalacewa cikin sauri ba. Wani bincike na kasuwanci da LaSalle Network ta gudanar ya nuna cewa kashi 67% na kananan da matsakaitan kamfanoni suna shirin kara yawan ma’aikata a 2025, wanda ya ragu daga kashi 74% a shekarar da ta gabata.
Ana sa ran matsakaicin albashin sa’a ya nuna karuwar kashi 0.3% a watan Disamba da kuma kashi 4% daga shekarar da ta gabata, wanda bai canja ba daga watan Nuwamba. Hoersten ta kara da cewa, “A yanzu, ina tsammanin abubuwa za su kasance a tsaye gaba daya, babu wani sauyi mai yawa a ko wata hanya. Amma na yi imani cewa har yanzu kasuwa tana da karfi, kuma kamfanoni suna bukatar su wuce dan tsaiko na ‘yan watannin da suka gabata su koma cikin kwanciyar hankali.”
