Shin Chelsea za ta iya ci gaba da samun nasara a kan Everton?

Kallon Gaban Karawarsu ta Gasar Premier a Stamford Bridge Nasara uku a jere a duk gasa sun hana kerkeci daga kofa ga Graham Potter. Ziyara daga Everton ya kamata ta yi wannan hudu, daidai? Bari mu gano. Tare da taimakon Opta supercomputer, za mu duba Chelsea da Everton a Stamford Bridge a karshen mako.

Farkon Maris ga Chelsea Watan Maris ya kasance wurin farautar Graham Potter da Chelsea. Bayan lashe wasa daya kacal cikin 11 da aka yi a dukkanin gasa a watan Janairu da Fabrairu, yanzu Blues ta fara samun nasara sau uku a jere a dukkan gasa. Nasarar gasar League da Crystal Palace da Leeds suka yi, an yi su ne da nasara a gida da Borussia Dortmund a gasar zakarun Turai.

A karshe sun juya gefe?

Wataƙila. Amma watakila kawai an taimaka musu ta hanyar jadawali mai laushi. Bayan haka, Leeds a halin yanzu tana matsayi na 19 kuma Crystal Palace tana kan mafi tsayi ba tare da nasara ba a rukunin. Chelsea ta yi fice sosai wajen doke kungiyoyin da ya kamata su “kamata” a kakar wasa ta bana kuma ta yi fama da ‘yan adawa masu inganci. Ƙungiyar Potter ba ta yi nasara ba ko da wasa ɗaya a kakar wasa ta bana da ɗaya daga cikin manyan 10 na yanzu (P11 D5 L6), yayin da suka yi nasara a wasanni 10 daga cikin 15 da suka yi da kasan rabin gasar.

Gwagwarmayar Everton Daga Gida Yana da kyau, don haka, sun yi maraba da Everton a Stamford Bridge ranar Asabar. Kuma ba wai kawai don Toffees suna matsayi na 15 ba kuma suna gwagwarmaya don rayuwarsu. Chelsea ba ta yi rashin nasara ba a wasanni 27 na karshe na gasar Premier da ta yi da Everton (W15 D12) a fafatawar da ta yi da ci 1-0 a watan Nuwamba 1994. a cikin tarihin saman jirginsu.

Ga Everton, tafiya ba ta kasance mai ƙarfi ba. Kashi 68% na maki a wannan kakar sun zo ne a Goodison Park, ciki har da muhimmai guda uku a wasansu na karshe da suka yi da Brentford. A hanya, sun kasance matalauta na ɗan lokaci. Kungiyar Sean Dyche ta samu nasara a wasanni biyu kacal a cikin wasanni 30 na gasar Premier a waje (D8 L20) yayin da ta ci kwallaye biyu kacal a wannan karon. Tun farkon kakar wasan da ta gabata, Toffees sun yi nasara a wasanni kaɗan (uku) kuma sun sami ƙarancin maki akan hanya (18) fiye da kowane ɓangarorin 17 da ke yanzu.

Everton ba ta yi nasara a waje ba tun Oktoba 2022 da Southampton. Yanzu, a bayyane yake cewa yanayin gida na Everton zai kasance mai mahimmanci ga rayuwarsu a kakar wasa ta bana – Dyche da amintattun Goodison Park ba za su damu da wasan da za su yi a waje ba idan suka tsaya – amma hakan ya nuna yadda babu yiwuwar samun nasara a waje. zama nan.

Taron Juyin Juya Halin da aka yi tsakanin bangarorin biyu ya zo ne a ranar bude gasar kakar 2022-23. Watanni bakwai a ƙwallon ƙafa yana da tsayi. Dukkanin kungiyoyin biyu suna da manajoji daban-daban a cikin ‘yan wasansu, tare da Frank Lampard mai kula da Everton da Thomas Tuchel ne ke kula da al’amura na Chelsea.

Har yanzu Édouard Mendy shi ne zaɓaɓɓen farko a raga, tare da Kepa Arrizabalaga a benci – mai yiwuwa a ci gaba da zama. Ko dan wasan Chelsea da ya zura a raga a ranar, Jorginho, ya bar kungiyar bayan ya koma Arsenal a matsayin aro. Bangaren Tuchel ya zura kwallaye 15 a wannan wasan. Sun yi rajista fiye da haka a wasa a wannan kakar sau hudu daban-daban.

Nasarar a nan kuma Chelsea za ta kammala gasar ta biyu a kan Everton a karon farko tun 2016-17.

Siffar Chelsea Kamar yadda aka ambata, Chelsea ta buga ɗan facin purple. Sun yi nasara a wasanninsu na Premier biyu na baya-bayan nan, kamar yadda suka yi a 15 da suka gabata a hade (D6 L7) kuma sun yi nasara a karshe a jere a watan Satumba/Oktoba – gudu hudu wanda ya hada da wasanni uku na farko na Graham Potter.

Har ila yau kwallayen sun fara dawowa, inda Blues suka ci biyar a wasanni biyun da suka gabata (2-0 da Borussia Dortmund da kuma 3-1 da Leicester), kamar yadda suka yi a 12 da suka gabata a duk gasa. Matsalolin da Chelsea ta fuskanta a gaban burin a farkon 2023 ba su da ƙarfi – a ƙarshen Fabrairu, sun zira kwallaye huɗu kawai daga jimlar 13.5 xG. Amma tun lokacin, sun zira kwallaye shida daga 5.0 xG. Shin ko sa’arsu ta juya? Shin gumakan xG sun shiga kuma sun gyara hanya?

Cigaban Everton A Karkashin Dyche Ga Everton zuwan Sean Dyche ya kasance alheri. Toffees sun yi nasara a wasanni uku cikin bakwai na gasar Premier a karkashinsa kawo yanzu (D1 L3), kamar yadda suka yi a wasanni 20 da suka yi karkashin Frank Lampard a kakar wasa ta bana (D6 L11).

Kai Havertz yana neman ya zura kwallo a wasanni uku a jere a Chelsea a duk gasar a karo na biyu, a baya ya yi hakan a watan Maris 2022. Bajamushe ne ya fi zura kwallo a raga a duk gasanni a wannan kakar (8). Dan wasan da ya zura kwallo a ragar Chelsea ya zura kwallo ta biyu a ragar Leicester bayan da Enzo Fernandez ya zura kwallo a ragar Leicester, wata alama ce ta kara kwarin gwiwa.

Dyche zai sake dogara da kakkarfan dan wasan bayansa James Tarkowski idan Everton za ta sami wani begen ceto sakamakon wannan. Baturen ya yi fice a karawarsu da Brentford, inda ya kammala dukkan takallinsa guda uku, ya ba da izini bakwai, kuma ya ci tara daga cikin 13 dinsa. Babu wani dan wasa daga kowane bangare da ya fi shi a cikin wadannan nau’ikan.

Hasashen Opta Supercomputer Opta supercomputer yana fafatawa tare da Chelsea a wannan, wanda ya baiwa Blues kiyasin kashi 53.7% na nasara. Wasan (26.5%) shine sakamako na gaba, yayin da Everton ta ba da damar 19.8% na fitar da damuwa. Magoya bayan Everton za su fi damuwa da dogon lokaci, duk da haka. A cikin hasashen mu na tsawon lokaci, duk da cewa a halin yanzu suna zaune a 15th, Toffees suna da damar 49.1% na faduwa. Wannan shine hasashe mafi girma na biyu, bayan Southampton kawai (77.9%). Bournemouth (45.5%) ita ce ta gaba a gasar zakarun Turai kakar wasa mai zuwa. Amma yaƙin faduwa yana kusa kusa, tare da Leeds United (43.9%) da Nottingham Forest (40.4%) suma a cikin mahaɗin.

Hasashen Dyche zai ga wannan wasan a matsayin buga kyauta. Duk da yake hakan ba zai sassauta gefensa daga mahallin hari ba, yana iya ba su damar yin wasa da hankali sosai. Chelsea ta yi ta tuntuɓe kuma ta yi ɓarna sau da yawa a gaba