Our football betting expert Jones Knows don yarn im insight before Premier League weekend, and e don tip a 20/1 treble. According to am, there be temptation to latch onto short-priced ‘banker’ for Sunday spots, but sometimes market just dey carry am carry am too far, and dat be the case with Bournemouth. The Cherries dey priced as if dem dey take on relegation-bound side wey get nothing. But Palace dey organised, dem stubborn, and dem no dey give much away.
The draw na often the most underrated outcome for football betting markets, and value fit creep in, especially when numbers start to back am. We dey see draw surge for Premier League right now, with 18 of last 49 games finishing level, wey be 37% strike-rate, comfortably above norm. Bournemouth don draw six of dia last eight games—dem don become specialists for not quite getting job done. Palace, meanwhile, don rack up 10 draws from 33 matches dis season. The 3/1 with Sky Bet on draw na fantastic bet.
When you dey assess player markets at dis stage of season, motivation and narrative fit be just as powerful as raw numbers, and dis one na where everything dey align. Bruno Fernandes to register assist at 6/4 with Sky Bet looks like cracking play. Fernandes dey sit on 19 Premier League assists dis season—just one shy of all-time single-season record held by Thierry Henry for 2002/03 and Kevin De Bruyne for 2019/20. Watching am recently, e clear say e dey actively look to create instead of finish moves. Im first instinct for and around box na to slide passes, pick runners, and manufacture chances. Dat mindset na exactly wetin you want when backing assist lines. At 6/4, you dey get playmaker for elite form, with clear target for sight, pulling strings for home environment where e thrive. Everything dey point towards another assist dey firmly on agenda.
If e look like relegation season, smell like relegation season, quack like relegation season, den e probably be relegation season. The footballing gods don make up dia mind on Spurs e be. Dat line of thinking don rubberstamp despite 1-0 win at Wolves where dem no play well. Dat West Ham injury-time winner na cruel one, and yet more injuries to key players like Xavi Simons, dia only real creative player for form, and Dominic Solanke, dey make already tough task even more difficult for Roberto De Zerbi. But there be one place wey still believe for dis Tottenham team: the betting markets. And dis really be great news as we fit back Aston Villa at staggering price at odds against of 21/20 with Sky Bet for win. The market don get too carried away by Spurs’ need for win and don gloss over key factor say dem be inferior team for every department. Aston Villa at home under Unai Emery dey so difficult to beat—dis na team wey don beat Man City, Arsenal and Man Utd at Villa Park dis season. Beating Spurs suppose be doddle.
Morgan Gibbs-White to score anytime at 100/30 with Sky Bet looks too big to ignore. The Forest playmaker dey finish season like man on mission. Seven goals for im last seven Premier League appearances dey tell you everything you need to know about level e dey operate at right now. E dey play with freedom, conviction and, most importantly, end product—something wey no always associate with im game. With international summer for horizon, Gibbs-White dey make very loud case to Thomas Tuchel for inclusion for England‘s World Cup squad. Dat kind motivation fit elevate player’s output, and e clear say e dey take on more responsibility for final third, dey get into scoring positions and find sublime quality at right time.
Manchester City don build dia title push on fast starts. Dem no dey ease into games—dem dey suffocate dem from off. The numbers dey pretty striking: nine goals scored and none conceded for opening 15 minutes of matches dis season. City don dey ahead at half-time 21 times for league—six more than Arsenal, wey dey next on list. Second again. Dat gap dey tell you how consistently dem dey get dia noses in front early and, crucially, stay there. At 6/5 with Sky Bet for Man City to dey winning at half-time and full-time, you dey get price on pattern wey don repeat all season.
Do you have a news tip for NNN? Please email us at editor @ nnn.ng
