Wetin dey happen for Middle East don turn gbege wey nobody fit predict. Just hours after former US President Donald Trump announce say dem don agree ceasefire with Iran for two weeks, big explosion don rock Lavan Oil Refinery for Lavan Island. Fire dey blaze for multiple storage tanks, and emergency evacuation don start. This one happen as people dey celebrate say war don end.
Trump talk say dem agree ceasefire subject to Iran opening Strait of Hormuz completely and immediately. But as Iran dey yarn say dem go allow ships pass, dem still dey warn say ships must get permission from Iranian navy before dem fit enter the strait. Radio message wey dem send to ships for the area warn say any vessel wey try pass without permission go “be destroyed.” So which one we go believe?
For Lebanon side, Israel no dey hear word at all. Dem carry out their largest coordinated strike since war begin, hitting 100 targets across Lebanon for just 10 minutes. Israel Defense Forces spokesman Nadav Shoshani talk say dem target Hezbollah command centers and military infrastructure for Beirut, Bekaa Valley, and southern Lebanon. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu talk clear say the ceasefire with Iran no include Israel’s war against Hezbollah.
But here na where confusion dey. The 10-point Iranian proposal wey Trump say go form basis for negotiations include call for cessation of all hostilities for the region, including Israel’s war for Lebanon. So Iran and Israel dey yarn different things. Even European leaders wey issue joint statement welcome the ceasefire dey urge “quick progress” toward permanent agreement.
Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth talk say Iran beg for this ceasefire. He yarn say Operation Epic Fury na historic victory and Iran no longer be threat to United States. But he warn say if Iran try shoot missiles again, e go be “very, very unwise” because dem don destroy their ability to build new weapons.
For money matter, oil prices don crash wella. US West Texas Intermediate lose almost 20% and Brent Crude shed 16%, trading around $95 per barrel. Investors dey happy say war don pause. Stock markets worldwide don jump – Seoul 6.9%, Tokyo 5.4%, Dubai 8.5%. People dey hope say crisis wey don shock global economy go end.
Two ships don already pass through Strait of Hormuz – Greek-owned NJ Earth and Liberia-flagged Daytona Beach. MarineTraffic monitoring service talk say hundreds of vessels still dey wait for the region, including 426 tankers. Analysts talk say Iran dey use Larak Island as “toll booth” to collect fees for safe passage.
But attacks no dey stop. United Arab Emirates say their air defenses fire at incoming Iranian missile barrage. Kuwait military talk say dem respond to “extensive wave” of drone attacks. Abu Dhabi catch fire after Iranian missiles land. Missile alerts don issue for UAE, Israel, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain and Kuwait – all after ceasefire announcement.
Iran talk say oil refinery for Lavan Island come under attack. Mehr news agency report say several explosions happen for Sirri Island too. Dem no know who launch am. Iranian state TV talk say firefighters dey work to contain blaze but nobody get injury.
Vice President JD Vance wey dey Hungary call the ceasefire “fragile truce.” He talk say some Iranian officials dey lie about wetin dem accomplish militarily. He warn say if Iranians no work with US in good faith, dem go find out say Trump no be person wey you fit mess with.
European Union top diplomat Kaja Kallas describe the agreement as “step back from the brink.” She talk say e create chance to stop missiles, restart shipping, and create space for diplomacy. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen welcome the ceasefire but talk say negotiations for enduring solution must continue.
Egypt foreign ministry call the agreement “significant step” toward ending war permanently. Spokesperson Ambassador Tamim Khallaf talk say Egypt go exert utmost efforts to capitalize on positive momentum to bring war to complete end.
Iran Supreme National Security Council share statement say ceasefire na “great victory” 38 days after US-Israel launch joint war. Dem talk say Iran “forced criminal America to accept its 10-point plan” wey include US guaranteeing non-aggression, Iranian control over Strait of Hormuz, accepting uranium enrichment, lifting sanctions, and paying compensation to Iran.
Trump announce the ceasefire on Truth Social, talk say dem agree to “double sided CEASEFIRE” with Iran for two weeks. He talk say US achieve military objectives. Iranian Foreign Minister Seyed Abbas Araghchi confirm say Iran agree to halt “defensive operations” if US stop attacking Iran.
But cracks dey show already. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu deny say Lebanon dey included in the deal, contradict Iran, mediator Pakistan, and French President Emmanuel Macron. Lebanon don bomb relentlessly by Israel hours after deal announce, with strikes hit Tyre city for southern coast.
Israel chief of general staff Lieutenant General Eyal Zamir talk say dem go continue to strike Hezbollah and seize every opportunity. “We will not compromise on security of residents of the North. We will continue to attack without pause,” e talk.
National Iranian Oil Refining and Distribution Company talk say safety and firefighting teams dey control and extinguish fire for Lavan Island refinery. Dem talk say no casualties report because dem evacuate employees on time.
United Arab Emirates talk say their air defense systems handle 17 ballistic missiles and 35 drones from Iran. Kuwaiti military talk say 31 Iranian drones target their oil, gas, and water desalination facilities.
Pakistan talk say Iran go attend talks for Islamabad Friday. The terms of ceasefire deal state say US and Iran go reopen Strait of Hormuz. But with Israel insistence say dem go continue bombing Lebanon, people dey ask if this fragile peace go hold or everything go scatter again.
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