One trader don place $25,371 bet say J.D. Vance no go win the Republican Party 2028 presidential nomination, according to Polymarket data wey QuiverQuant report. The trader buy No shares at 52 percent odds for the market question on Polymarket’s Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 page. If the bet pay off, the position go return about $23,804 profit.
Polymarket talk say the question ask whether Vance go win and accept the party 2028 presidential nomination, and the market go resolve based on agreement of official Republican Party sources. If replacement happen before election day, e no go change the outcome.
The same page still list other possible nominees. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. stand at 49 percent Yes, Marco Rubio at 14 percent, Tucker Carlson at 3 percent, Ron DeSantis at 2 percent, and Ted Cruz at 2 percent. Yes odds for Vance stand at 47 percent, down from 48 percent one day ago, 49 percent one week ago, and 51 percent one month ago. The question go resolve on Nov. 8, 2028. The page see $63,822 volume in last 24 hours and $15,899,098 lifetime volume.
For PBS Washington Week with The Atlantic, panel also discuss who fit be next Republican presidential nominee and the challenges for primaries and general election. Panel talk say common belief put J.D. Vance and Marco Rubio as two obvious leading contenders, but e no clear say Donald Trump believe anybody suppose follow am. Dem call Vance the one wey dem technically anoint.
Panel also talk about shift in Texas Republican politics away from old strong interventionism, especially after Iran and as prices dey now. According to the discussion, that shift fit make nomination battle uphill for Marco Rubio. One panel member talk say e get feeling say somebody wey no be Vance or Rubio go emerge, and say “I’m going to say someone else.”
The Washington Post report on June 14, 2026 say Vance talk in interview say he and wife go discuss whether to run for president in 2028 after 2026 midterm elections. On Aug. 6, 2026, the paper report say Trump privately tell donors he want Vance win 2028 presidential election, but advisers still see any endorsement as something wey never settle. On Sept. 22, 2026, Washington Post report say Republicans already dey map potential challenges to Vance nomination. Reuters Connect report on Sept. 11, 2026 say crowd chant Vance name at Republican convention event in Dallas. The American Presidency Project note on Oct. 9, 2026 say supporter at Ohio event wear hat wey show support for Vance in 2028.
QuiverQuant add say prediction market prices na wetin traders ready to pay, no be forecast, and the article no be financial advice.
